ICT Complete Framework
// Smart Money Concepts — Michael J. Huddleston
"The market is not a casino. It is a precision delivery system engineered to move price from one liquidity pool to the next. Your job is not to predict — your job is to read the delivery."
— ICT (Michael J. Huddleston)
29
Topics
6
Macro Windows
8
Weekly Profiles
3:1+
Min R:R
43
Glossary Terms
2010
Origin Year
Core Philosophy
The ICT Thesis
Institutions use algorithms to deliver price between liquidity pools. They accumulate during quiet periods, manipulate price to trigger retail stops, then distribute in the true direction.
Your job: identify where liquidity is, when kill zones align, and what the HTF narrative dictates — then wait for displacement + retracement before entering.
Your job: identify where liquidity is, when kill zones align, and what the HTF narrative dictates — then wait for displacement + retracement before entering.
Liquidity First
Time-Based
HTF Bias
Algorithmic
IPDA Lookback
20 / 40 / 60 Day Rule
The Interbank Price Delivery Algorithm references prior 20, 40, and 60 trading days to identify draw-on-liquidity targets. Price is delivered between these reference pools.
ICT'S FIRST LESSON
"The market is not your enemy — you are." Discipline and process matters more than any setup.
Smart Money vs Retail
Who Moves Price
- Institutions (banks, hedge funds) engineer moves
- Retail traders are the liquidity being hunted
- Stop losses = institutional buy/sell orders
- Price is delivered algorithmically, not randomly
The Three Questions
Before Every Trade
- Where is the draw on liquidity?
- When is the kill zone active?
- What is the HTF narrative?
Never trade without answering all three.
Mentorship Eras
ICT Timeline
2010–2012
ForexFactory — Original SMC, OBs, Liquidity
2015–2017
YouTube — Market Maker Models, Kill Zones
2022
YouTube (Free) — Most structured public curriculum
2023–24
Refinements — Macros, Silver Bullet emphasis
📚 Suggested Learning Path
New to ICT? Follow this sequence for the best progression from foundations to live execution:
Recommended Tools & Resources
ABOUT THIS DASHBOARD
A free ICT/SMC trading reference for futures & forex traders. 30+ tabs, live kill zone timer, news calendar, trade journal, confluence scorer and more. No login required — works offline as a PWA.
Liquidity — The Core Engine
// Where stops live, institutions feed
"Every rally and every selloff — it's all engineered to find the stops. When you understand that, you stop asking 'why did price do that?' and start asking 'whose stops did it just hunt?'"
— ICT
Chart Example
Buy-Side & Sell-Side Liquidity
▲ BSL — above swing highs / equal highs
▼ SSL — below swing lows / equal lows
Liquidity Types
Where Stops Cluster
| Type | Location | Side |
|---|---|---|
| Equal Highs | Above multiple swing highs | BSL |
| Equal Lows | Below multiple swing lows | SSL |
| Trendline Highs | Above ascending TL touches | BSL |
| Trendline Lows | Below descending TL touches | SSL |
| Round Numbers | 00, 000, 50 levels | Both |
| Prior Day H/L | PDH / PDL | Both |
Liquidity Sweep
The Stop Hunt
Price raids stops before reversing. This is intentional — institutions need retail stop orders to fill their positions at scale.
A sweep ≠ a fake-out.
A sweep = institutional order fill.
A sweep = institutional order fill.
Key Question
Always Ask
"Where are the stops clustered above and below current price?"
That answer determines your draw-on-liquidity target.
Turtle Soup Setup
Fade the Sweep
After a liquidity sweep, price immediately fails to hold beyond the swept level and reverses. The sweep = institutional fill. The reversal = the real direction. This is the mechanical entry model built on liquidity grabs.
Market Structure
// BOS, ChoCH, Premium vs Discount
"Price only does one of three things: it seeks buy-side liquidity, it seeks sell-side liquidity, or it rebalances a fair value gap. If you know which one it's doing right now — you know everything you need to know."
— ICT
Chart Example
BOS vs ChoCH
Premium vs Discount
The 50% Equilibrium
🔴 Premium — Sell zone (>50%)
🟢 Discount — Buy zone (<50%)
⭐ OTE: 61.8–79%
Break of Structure
BOS — Continuation
Price decisively breaks a prior swing high (bullish) or swing low (bearish). Signals the trend continues in the current direction.
Trend ContinuationConfirmation
Change of Character
ChoCH — Reversal Signal
First opposing BOS that breaks the most recent swing in the opposite direction. The earliest sign of a potential reversal. Also called MSS (Market Structure Shift).
Reversal SignalEarly Warning
OTE Fibonacci
Optimal Trade Entry
- 62% — First OTE level
- 70.5% — Primary OTE
- 79% — Deep OTE level
- -27% — Extension target 1
- -62% — Extension target 2
Only valid after confirmed displacement + MSS
Top-Down Analysis Framework
Multi-Timeframe Drill Down
M/W
Monthly/Weekly
Overall Bias
Premium or Discount?
Premium or Discount?
→
D
Daily
Key OBs, FVGs
Draw on Liquidity
Draw on Liquidity
→
4H/1H
4hr / 1hr
Confirm Structure
Find the Setup
Find the Setup
→
15M/5M
15min / 5min
Entry Refinement
Trigger Setup
Trigger Setup
→
1M
1min
Precision Entry
Exact Trigger
Exact Trigger
OTE Fibonacci
Optimal Trade Entry Zone
- 62% — First OTE level
- 70.5% — Primary OTE (most precise)
- 79% — Deep OTE level
- −27% — Extension target 1
- −62% — Extension target 2
Only valid after confirmed displacement + MSS. Draw from swing origin.
Full 6-step drawing guide with entry mechanics, stop placement, and extension targets is in the Setups tab.
SEE ALSO →
Order Blocks
// Where institutional orders were placed
"An order block is where the bank left their business card. Price will always return to where the institution last did business."
— ICT
Chart Example
Bullish & Bearish Order Blocks
OB Variants
All Order Block Types
| Type | Description | Bias |
|---|---|---|
| Bullish OB | Last down-close candle before large rally | Buy |
| Bearish OB | Last up-close candle before large drop | Sell |
| Breaker Block | Failed OB — flips to opposite polarity | Flip |
| Mitigation Block | OB that caused move, never revisited | Pending |
| Rejection Block | Wick rejection zone — body-to-wick transition | Both |
| Propulsion Block | Consolidation just before impulse | Both |
Bullish OB Rule
How to Identify
- Find the last bearish (down-close) candle
- Before a significant bullish displacement
- The candle's body = the order block zone
- Price often returns to rebalance before continuing up
Bearish OB Rule
How to Identify
- Find the last bullish (up-close) candle
- Before a significant bearish displacement
- The candle's body = the order block zone
- Price often returns to rebalance before continuing down
Breaker Block
The Polarity Flip
When an order block is decisively violated, it becomes a Breaker Block — it now acts as resistance (former bullish OB) or support (former bearish OB).
Support → Resistance
Resistance → Support
Resistance → Support
How to Mark an Order Block — Step by Step
1
Find the Displacement
Identify the strong impulsive candle(s) that caused a BOS or ChoCH. This is the result of the OB.
2
Look Left
For a bullish OB: find the last bearish (red) candle before the displacement up. For a bearish OB: find the last bullish (green) candle before the displacement down.
3
Mark the Body
The OB zone = the open to close of that last opposing candle (the body, not the wicks).
4
Check for Displacement Quality
The move away from the OB must be impulsive — not a slow grind. Strong institutional candle = high quality OB.
5
Wait for Return
Price will return to rebalance the OB. Enter when it reaches the zone — ideally at CE (50% of the body).
6
Invalidation Rule
If price closes below a bullish OB (or above a bearish OB) — the OB is invalid. It may become a Breaker Block.
High quality OB checklist:
✓ Last opposing candle before strong displacement
✓ Displacement creates a BOS or ChoCH
✓ FVG present in the displacement candle
✓ OB is in the discount zone (for bullish)
✓ HTF bias aligns with the OB direction
✓ Kill zone active when price returns
✓ Last opposing candle before strong displacement
✓ Displacement creates a BOS or ChoCH
✓ FVG present in the displacement candle
✓ OB is in the discount zone (for bullish)
✓ HTF bias aligns with the OB direction
✓ Kill zone active when price returns
Low quality / invalid OB:
✗ Slow, grinding move away — not displacement
✗ No BOS/ChoCH from the OB
✗ OB in premium when looking for buy
✗ Already been tested multiple times
✗ No FVG in the displacement
✗ Outside a kill zone
✗ Slow, grinding move away — not displacement
✗ No BOS/ChoCH from the OB
✗ OB in premium when looking for buy
✗ Already been tested multiple times
✗ No FVG in the displacement
✗ Outside a kill zone
SEE ALSO →
Fair Value Gaps & Imbalances
// Price inefficiencies that must be filled
"Fair value gaps are open wounds in the market. The algorithm is programmed to heal them. It will always come back."
— ICT
Chart Example
FVG Formation (3-Candle Pattern)
FVG Mechanics
The 3-Candle Rule
A Fair Value Gap forms when Candle 1's wick and Candle 3's wick do NOT overlap. The space between them is the FVG — an inefficient price zone the algorithm will return to fill.
| Concept | Description |
|---|---|
| Bullish FVG | Gap on the way up — price returns to buy from it |
| Bearish FVG | Gap on the way down — price returns to sell from it |
| Inverse FVG | FVG is violated — flips to opposite polarity |
| CE (Consequent Encroachment) | The exact 50% midpoint of the FVG |
| IFVG | FVG inside an OB — highest confluence zone |
ADVANCED TERMINOLOGY
ICT calls bullish FVGs SIBI (Sellside Imbalance Buyside Inefficiency) and bearish FVGs BISI (Buyside Imbalance Sellside Inefficiency).
Most Precise Level
Consequent Encroachment (CE)
The 50% midpoint of any FVG or OB. Entering at CE gives the tightest stop with maximum R:R. ICT's most precise single entry point.
Unicorn Model — FVG Inside OB
When a Fair Value Gap sits inside an Order Block, you have ICT's highest-confluence entry. Enter at the CE (50%) of the embedded FVG — smallest stop, biggest R:R.
Opening Gaps
NWOG & NDOG
- NWOG: Gap between Fri close & Sun open
- NDOG: Gap between prior session close & current open
- These gaps act as price magnets
- Price almost always revisits them
- Used as both targets AND S/R levels
SEE ALSO →
PD Arrays — Ranked
// Premium & Discount Arrays — ICT's full hierarchy
"You don't need to predict the market. You need to understand where the algorithm is going to deliver price, and which array it's going to use to get there."
— ICT
Sell from Premium
Bearish PD Array Hierarchy
1
Old Highs / Equal Highs (BSL)
Highest priority liquidity target
2
Bearish Order Block
Last bullish candle before drop
3
Bearish FVG
Imbalance on the way down
4
Bearish Breaker Block
Former bullish OB that was violated
5
Bearish Mitigation Block
6
Bearish Rejection Block
7
Bearish Propulsion Block
Buy from Discount
Bullish PD Array Hierarchy
1
Old Lows / Equal Lows (SSL)
Highest priority liquidity target
2
Bullish Order Block
Last bearish candle before rally
3
Bullish FVG
Imbalance on the way up
4
Bullish Breaker Block
Former bearish OB that was violated
5
Bullish Mitigation Block
6
Bullish Rejection Block
7
Bullish Propulsion Block
IPDA LOOKBACK — HOW TO USE IT
20 / 40 / 60 Day Reference Framework
The Interbank Price Delivery Algorithm references prior 20, 40, and 60 trading days to identify draw-on-liquidity targets. Price is always being delivered between these reference pools.
20D
Short-term draw. Most common intraweek target. Mark the 20-day high and low on your daily chart every session.
40D
Medium-term draw. Swing trade target. When 20D fails to hold, expect a move to the 40D high or low.
60D
Long-term draw. Position trade target. ~3 months of data. The algorithm always returns to these levels before reversing.
How to mark: On your daily chart, count back 20, 40, and 60 trading days. Draw horizontal lines at those highs and lows. These are your HTF draw-on-liquidity targets — price will be delivered to one of them before reversing.
QUARTERLY SHIFT / IPDA QUARTERLY THEORY
Q1 = Accumulation below 50% of prior quarter range. Q2 = Manipulation — sweep of Q1 highs or lows. Q3–Q4 = True directional delivery to the 60-day target. This is why major reversals often occur near January, April, July, and October — the algorithm resets its 60-day window.
Time — The Most Underrated Variable
// Kill Zones + ICT Macros
"Time is the most important variable in trading. A valid setup outside a kill zone is not a valid setup. It is a trap."
— ICT
Session Kill Zones
Highest Probability Windows (EST)
Asian Session
8:00 PM – 12:00 AM EST
London Open Kill Zone
2:00 AM – 5:00 AM EST
NY AM Kill Zone ⭐
8:30 AM – 11:00 AM EST
NY Lunch
12:00 PM – 1:00 PM EST
NY PM Kill Zone
1:30 PM – 4:00 PM EST
ICT Macros
20-Minute Algorithmic Windows
These are near-mechanical windows where an FVG forms and price returns to fill it within 20 minutes.
| Macro | Window (EST) | Session |
|---|---|---|
| London Open | 2:33 – 3:00 AM | London |
| NY AM #1 | 8:50 – 9:10 AM | NY |
| NY AM #2 | 9:50 – 10:10 AM | NY |
| NY Lunch | 11:50 AM – 12:10 PM | Lunch |
| NY PM #1 | 1:10 – 1:30 PM | PM |
| NY PM #2 | 3:15 – 3:45 PM | PM |
Silver Bullet
3 Windows
| 3–4 AM | London open |
| 10–11 AM | NY AM |
| 2–3 PM | NY PM |
Sweep → FVG → Retrace → Target liq.
Key Intraday Times
Pivot Windows
| 12:00 AM | NDOG open |
| 8:30 AM | News trigger |
| 9:30 AM | RTH open |
| 10:00–10:10 | Reversal window |
| 2:00–2:30 PM | FOMC-style |
| 3:00 PM | London close |
Economic Calendar
News as Liq. Events
NFP, CPI, FOMC, GDP are engineered liquidity events — not fundamental signals. The spike hunts stops on both sides first.
Protocol: Wait for spike → close → ChoCH on 1M/5M → enter FVG → target opposing liquidity.
NFP
CPI
FOMC
GDP
BEFORE (−15 MIN)
Close positions. Mark current H/L. Identify which side has more stops. Do NOT enter.
AFTER SPIKE
Let candle close. Wait for ChoCH opposite the spike. Enter FVG. Target prior liquidity.
London Close
3:00 PM EST
| Closes 3–4 PM → position squaring |
| Reversal of NY PM move |
| Tight ranges as books close |
| Silver Bullet PM: 2–3 PM overlap |
| After 4 PM — no new trades |
London close + NY PM Silver Bullet = day's final H/L
Consolidation → Expansion
Tight Range = Storm
Compressed ranges precede every impulsive leg.
| Asia range → London expansion |
| Pre-news compression → explosion |
| Inside bars → next day explosive |
| Smaller range = faster expansion |
Fractal Delivery
Every Timeframe
| Monthly | AMD over qtrs |
| Weekly | Mon→Fri |
| Daily | Asia→NY |
| Hourly/15M | per session |
| 1M/5M | per move |
SEE ALSO →
AMD Model & Weekly Bias
// Accumulation, Manipulation, Distribution — Fractal across all timeframes
"Asia accumulates. London manipulates. New York delivers. Never mistake the manipulation for the move — that's how retail traders get destroyed every single day."
— ICT
Power of 3
Accumulation → Manipulation → Distribution
A
ACCUMULATION
Asia range
builds position
builds position
M
MANIPULATION
London Judas
false move
false move
D
DISTRIBUTION
NY real move
to target
to target
Quarterly Theory — Fractal
AMD Plays on Every Timeframe
| Timeframe | Accumulate | Manipulate | Distribute |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yearly | Q1 | Q2 | Q3–Q4 |
| Monthly | Week 1 | Week 2 | Weeks 3–4 |
| Weekly | Mon–Tue | Wed | Thu–Fri |
| Daily | Asia | London | New York |
| Intraday | Pre-KZ | Judas Swing | True Move |
Day-of-Week Tendencies
Weekly Bias Framework
MON
Often manipulation / stop hunt — don't trust the direction
TUE
Frequently where the actual weekly direction begins
WED
Continuation or reversal pivot
THU
Often mirrors Tuesday's move
FRI
Partial reversal / profit-taking
Judas Swing
The False Move
A deliberate false move in the opposite direction of the day's true intent. Occurs during the London open or early NY session. Triggers retail stop losses and creates the liquidity institutions need before the real move.
Daily Bias Framework
5-Step Process
- 1. Where did price close vs. prior day range?
- 2. Identify liquidity above and below
- 3. Confirm with HTF weekly/monthly bias
- 4. Which side of PDH/PDL more likely swept?
- 5. Wait for Judas Swing to confirm true direction
Three Drives
Accumulation Pattern
Price often makes three touches of a liquidity zone before the real move. The third touch = highest probability sweep and reversal.
3rd touch = Entry trigger
Ties into Wyckoff logic
Ties into Wyckoff logic
Market Maker Models
// The institutional playbook — Buy Model & Sell Model
"Institutions don't chase price. They engineer the conditions that make retail chase price — and then they go the other way."
— ICT
Chart Example
Market Maker Buy Model
① Raid sell-side liquidity (below lows)
② Displacement up through swing high (MSS)
③ Return to FVG / OB to rebalance
④ Expansion up to buy-side liquidity target
Chart Example
Market Maker Sell Model
① Raid buy-side liquidity (above highs)
② Displacement down through swing low (MSS)
③ Return to FVG / OB to rebalance
④ Expansion down to sell-side liquidity target
Price Delivery Patterns
How Institutions Deliver Price
Seek & Destroy
Price aggressively hunts one side of liquidity then reverses hard. Classic stop hunt.
Stop Hunt then Run
Classic sweep → displacement → trend continuation in the direction of the sweep.
Range Expansion
Tight ranges ALWAYS precede the next impulsive leg. In direction of HTF bias.
THE 4-PHASE INSTITUTIONAL CYCLE
How Smart Money Operates Every Week
①
ACCUMULATION
Quiet, tight range. Institutions building positions. Typically Sunday night to Monday. Retail sees nothing happening and ignores it.
②
MANIPULATION
False directional move. Sweeps the stop losses on one side. Triggers retail entries in the WRONG direction. Institutions fill at retail's expense.
③
DISTRIBUTION
The TRUE move. Explosive, impulsive delivery in the real direction. Retail is now on the wrong side or missed entirely. This is where smart money profits.
④
REBALANCE
Price retraces to fill the FVG left by the distribution move. Offers a second entry for those who missed Phase 3. Then the next cycle begins.
Every manipulation move looks like a breakout to retail. Every distribution move looks like it came out of nowhere. The cycle IS the setup. Stop chasing. Start waiting for Phase 2 to confirm Phase 3.
WORKED EXAMPLE — BULLISH WEEK
Market Maker Buy Model in Practice
DAY-BY-DAY DELIVERY
SUN
Midnight opens below PWL. NWOG prints below prior Friday close. Accumulation range forms.
MON
Manipulation. London continues lower. Sweeps PWL and prior week's SSL. Retail shorts pile in. This is Phase 2.
TUE
Weekly low prints. London ChoCH fires above Monday's wick. NY AM FVG fills. This is the entry.
WED
Distribution. Price expands toward BSL. Longs from Tuesday running. Add on pullback to FVG.
THU/FRI
Weekly high prints. Profit taking. Close remaining longs by Thursday close.
ENTRY LOGIC (TUESDAY)
HTF: Monthly below 50% range → bullish bias confirmed
Profile: Classic Tuesday Low selected Sunday night
Trigger: London sweeps Monday's low → 5M ChoCH above London wick
Entry: NY AM — price retraces into FVG from ChoCH candle. Enter at CE.
Stop: Below the Tuesday low (the swept level)
Target: PWH / Prior week's BSL. R:R: 4:1–7:1 typical on this setup.
SEE ALSO →
ICT Setups
// Unicorn, Silver Bullet, Turtle Soup, OTE
"The best trades look the worst right before they work. The Unicorn, the Silver Bullet, the Turtle Soup — they all require you to buy when it looks like it's falling, and sell when it looks like it's rising."
— ICT
Highest Confidence Setup
🦄 The Unicorn Model
ICT's most precise mechanical setup. Requires four confluences:
1
ChoCH confirmed on lower timeframe
2
First pullback into a valid Order Block
3
FVG embedded inside that OB
4
Enter at CE (50%) of the embedded FVG
3-Window Mechanical Setup
⚡ Silver Bullet
Only trade during the three defined windows. The mechanics are identical each time — master one window before trading the others.
3–4 AM
London open
10–11 AM
NY AM
2–3 PM
NY PM
STEP-BY-STEP ENTRY
1
Window opens — do nothing until it starts. No pre-entries.
2
Identify the resting liquidity (BSL above or SSL below current price).
3
Price sweeps that liquidity — stop hunt fires. Mark the swept level.
4
Strong displacement candle reverses — ChoCH confirmed. FVG forms in the displacement.
5
Price retraces into the FVG. Wait for CE (50% midpoint) touch.
6
Enter at CE. Stop: beyond the swept level. Target: opposing liquidity pool.
If the window closes before you get an entry — the trade is over. Never chase after the window ends.
Fade the Sweep
🐢 Turtle Soup
- Prior swing with obvious stops beyond it
- Price aggressively sweeps those stops
- Immediately fails to hold beyond swing
- Entry on reversal candle back inside range
Named after ICT inverting the classic Turtle Trader strategy
Fibonacci Entry
📐 OTE Model
- Confirmed displacement and MSS first
- Draw Fib from swing low to high (bull)
- Enter between 62% – 79% retracement
- Stop below the swept low
- Target: -27% and -62% extensions
2022 Mentorship Addition
🌙 Midnight Open Model
ICT defines the true trading day as starting at Midnight NY time — not the 9:30 AM NYSE open. This reframes where you draw key levels and identify the Judas Swing.
1
NDOG = gap between prior session close and Midnight open. Mark this zone — price will revisit it.
2
Midnight → 8:30 AM = analysis window. Mark the high and low. These become your manipulation targets.
3
8:30 AM news spike = the algorithmic trigger. The spike sweeps one side of the midnight range — that IS the Judas Swing.
4
After the sweep → ChoCH on 1M/5M → enter FVG → target opposite side of midnight range.
Only trade your kill zone. Once the NY AM delivery is complete — step away. Never extend into the NY lunch window chasing continuation.
SMT Divergence
// Smart Money Tool — Correlated pair divergence signals
"If they both go up together, that's bullish. But if one goes up and the other doesn't follow — one of them is lying. And the market always tells the truth eventually."
— ICT on SMT Divergence
Chart Example
SMT Divergence — Bearish
ES makes new high → NQ FAILS to confirm → Bearish SMT → Reversal incoming
Correlated Pairs
Primary SMT Relationships
| Asset A | Asset B | Relationship |
|---|---|---|
| ES (S&P) | NQ (Nasdaq) | Correlated |
| EUR/USD | GBP/USD | Correlated |
| Gold | DXY | Inverse |
| DXY | EUR/USD | Inverse |
| Crude Oil | CAD/JPY | Correlated |
How to Read SMT
- If Asset A makes new high but Asset B fails to confirm → bearish SMT
- If Asset A makes new low but Asset B fails to confirm → bullish SMT
- Most powerful on 15M and 1H at kill zones
- Works on ANY timeframe
BEARISH EXAMPLE
ES makes a new high → NQ makes a lower high → Bearish SMT → Short ES from premium OB.
BULLISH EXAMPLE
ES makes a new low → NQ holds a higher low → Bullish SMT → Buy ES from discount OB.
SMT + Confluence Scoring
SMT Divergence is one of the highest-weight confluence factors. When combined with Kill Zone timing, liquidity sweep, ChoCH, and a valid PD Array — it builds a full high-probability setup. Use the Confluence Scorer to rate your setup live.
SEE ALSO →
Trade Execution
// How to enter — mechanics, stops, sizing
"A 3:1 trade that you didn't take is worth absolutely nothing. Execution is the only thing that separates the student from the trader."
— ICT
Entry Framework
Step-by-Step Execution
1
HTF Bias — Determine premium or discount on daily/weekly
2
Liquidity Target — Identify draw on liquidity (BSL or SSL)
3
Kill Zone — Wait for the correct session window
4
Liquidity Sweep — Watch for stop raid at key level
5
Displacement — Strong impulsive candle breaks structure (MSS)
6
Retracement — Price returns to OB / FVG / OTE zone
7
Execute — Enter at CE or OTE with defined stop and target
Risk Parameters
Stop, Target & Position
Risk per Trade1–2%
Minimum R:R3:1
Target R:R5:1 – 10:1
Stop Placement
Stop goes below the OB or beyond the liquidity that was swept. Never above an arbitrary number.
Target Placement
Next opposing liquidity pool — prior BSL or SSL that has not yet been taken.
The Do's & Don'ts
ICT's Rules for Execution
✓ DO
- Trade with HTF bias always
- Wait for displacement before entry
- Enter on the return to FVG / OB
- Journal every single trade
- Demo trade until consistently profitable
- Use strict kill zones only
- Target 3:1 minimum R:R
- Let news spike, then trade the reversal
✗ DON'T
- Trade during low-liquidity lunch
- Use lagging indicators as signals
- Chase breakouts the moment they happen
- Risk more than 1–2% per trade
- Revenge trade after a stop-out
- Trust trendlines as S/R
- Over-trade — 2–3 setups per week max
- Trade against the HTF narrative
POSITION SIZING — ICT METHOD
Risk % → Stop Distance → Contracts
ICT trades a fixed risk amount per trade, never a fixed number of contracts. The position size is derived from your stop loss distance.
FORMULA
Risk $ = Account × Risk%
Stop $ = Price × Stop Ticks × Tick Value
Contracts = Risk $ ÷ Stop $
ES EXAMPLE
Account: $50,000
Risk: 1% = $500
Stop: 10 pts × $50/pt = $500
→ 1 contract
Risk: 1% = $500
Stop: 10 pts × $50/pt = $500
→ 1 contract
ICT rule: Never risk more than 1–2% per trade. Size DOWN on marginal setups (Confluence 8–11). Size UP to max on A+ setups (Confluence 16–20). The calculator above computes this automatically.
SEE ALSO →
Trading Psychology
// Discipline, Patience, Process
"The market is not your enemy. You are your enemy. The market is just doing what the algorithm tells it to do. You are the one making emotional decisions."
— ICT
Core Truth
"The market is not your enemy — you are."
All losses trace back to: impatience, revenge trading, FOMO, or abandoning the process when it's uncomfortable.
Mindset Pillars
ICT Mental Framework
- One good setup per week is enough
- Be selective — quality over quantity
- Protect capital above all else
- Study price delivery, not patterns
- Understand the why behind every move
Process
Non-Negotiables
- Journal every single trade — entry reason, result, review
- Screenshot the setup before AND after every trade
- Review sessions weekly for repeating patterns
- Demo trade months before going live
- Define your rules before the session starts
- Walk away after hitting daily targets or max drawdown
The Weekly Goal
2–3
Quality setups per week. Not per day. Overtrading is the #1 killer of retail accounts.
After a Loss
The Protocol
- Do NOT immediately re-enter
- Step away from the screen
- Review: was it a valid setup or a deviation?
- Journal the trade with a cold, objective eye
- Return to the process — never to the loss
Long-Term Truth
The Real Edge
The edge is NOT in the setup. The edge is in the consistent, mechanical execution of the setup — over hundreds of trades, in all market conditions, without emotional deviation.
Advanced Concepts
// SIBI/BISI · PDH/PDL · Standard Deviation · Dealing Range · Trade Management · Wyckoff
"Retail sees patterns. Smart money sees liquidity pools. That is the single most important distinction you will ever learn in trading."
— ICT
ICT Imbalance Terminology
SIBI & BISI — The Full Names
ICT uses two specific terms for Fair Value Gaps based on the direction of the imbalance and the inefficiency they create:
| Acronym | Full Name | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| SIBI | Sellside Imbalance Buyside Inefficiency |
A bullish FVG — price moved up aggressively leaving an imbalance. The sell-side of the range was not traded. Price returns to fill this inefficiency from the buy side. |
| BISI | Buyside Imbalance Sellside Inefficiency |
A bearish FVG — price moved down aggressively leaving an imbalance. The buy-side of the range was not traded. Price returns to fill this inefficiency from the sell side. |
SIBI = Bullish FVG (buy from it in discount)
BISI = Bearish FVG (sell from it in premium)
Both are filled using Consequent Encroachment (CE) as the precision entry.
BISI = Bearish FVG (sell from it in premium)
Both are filled using Consequent Encroachment (CE) as the precision entry.
Inversion
Inverted FVG / Inverted OB
When a SIBI or BISI is violated by price running through it rather than respecting it, the imbalance inverts and becomes the opposite type:
- Inverted SIBI: A bullish FVG that was broken to the downside — now acts as bearish resistance on the return. Also called an Inverse FVG (IFVG).
- Inverted BISI: A bearish FVG that was broken to the upside — now acts as bullish support on the return.
- Reclaimed OB: An order block that price trades through, then trades back inside — now the block is "reclaimed" and retains some of its original attraction.
Rule: When an FVG is violated, flip it. The level that was support becomes resistance, and vice versa. This is the same polarity-flip logic as the Breaker Block.
Key Reference Levels — Daily & Weekly
PDH · PDL · PWH · PWL · PMH · PML
PDH / PDL
Previous Day High / Low
Most-watched daily reference. BSL rests above PDH, SSL rests below PDL. Price almost always revisits one of these each session. Mark every day on the 1H chart.
PWH / PWL
Previous Week High / Low
Primary weekly liquidity targets. The manipulation move on Monday typically sweeps toward PWH (bearish week) or PWL (bullish week). These are the algorithm's primary delivery targets each week.
PMH / PML
Previous Month High / Low
HTF liquidity targets. When price is near a PMH or PML, expect a sweep before the monthly directional move. Used as context for the quarterly bias and IPDA delivery targets.
Opening Prices
Daily / Weekly / Monthly Opens
The opening price of each period acts as a magnet. The True Open (Midnight NY) anchors each day's AMD model. Weekly open (Sunday midnight) is reference for the week's range. Monthly open sets the monthly bias.
Asia Range H / L
Asian Session High / Low
The accumulation range that London will sweep. The high and low of the 8 PM–12 AM EST session become the manipulation targets for London. Mark these before London opens every day.
True Open
Midnight NY Time
ICT's 2022 curriculum defined the True Day as starting at Midnight NY time — not 9:30 AM. The NDOG (New Day Opening Gap) is calculated from the prior session close to the Midnight open price.
Standard Deviation Targets
ICT SD Projections
ICT uses Standard Deviation (SD) measurements from a dealing range to project price targets. This is a statistical approach to identifying how far a move is likely to extend:
- 0.5 SD: Minimal move — partial target, often retraced
- 1.0 SD: Standard target — first objective, take partial profits
- 2.0 SD: Extended target — full run, where runners go
- 2.5 SD: Outlier move — rare, news-driven expansions
The dealing range used for SD measurement is typically the consolidation or accumulation zone before the displacement. Measure the range, apply SD multiples to project targets above (bull) or below (bear).
Dealing Range
The Consolidation Before the Move
A dealing range is the structured consolidation zone where institutions accumulate or distribute positions before a significant directional move. It has three key components:
- Range High: BSL above — target for a sweep before a bearish move, or the delivery target for a bullish move
- Range Low: SSL below — target for a sweep before a bullish move, or the delivery target for a bearish move
- 50% of Range (EQ): The equilibrium — premium above, discount below. Entries are taken from discount (buys) or premium (sells) within the range
ICT applies SD projections FROM the dealing range to project where price will deliver after the breakout. The range itself contains the OBs and FVGs that will be revisited on the retracement.
Institutional Candle
The Displacement Candle
An institutional candle is an unusually large, decisive candle that:
- Breaks a key swing high or low decisively
- Leaves a Fair Value Gap (FVG) in its wake
- Closes near its extreme (minimal wick on the close side)
- Represents the displacement phase of the market maker model
- The body of this candle often becomes an Order Block on retracement
Opening Range
9:30 AM Equity Open
The first 5–15 minutes after the equity open (9:30 AM EST) establish the Opening Range — a critical reference zone:
- The high and low of the 9:30–9:45 AM range are key levels
- A sweep of the opening range high or low before 10 AM = the manipulation
- The true directional move begins after the sweep
- The 10:00–10:10 AM window is the primary reversal zone after the opening range sweep
London Open Model
2:00–5:00 AM EST Framework
- Mark the Asia range high and low before 2 AM
- At 2:33 AM: watch for the Judas Swing wick (manipulation begins)
- Identify which side of the Asia range is swept
- Look for ChoCh on 5M/15M after the sweep
- FVG left by the reversal = the NY AM entry zone
- If no ChoCh by 5 AM: stand aside, wait for NY AM
Advanced Trade Management
Scaling Out · Runners · Breakeven Protocol
Scale-Out Strategy
- Position 1 (50%): Take profit at Target 1 — opposite session high/low or nearest FVG
- Position 2 (30%): Take profit at Target 2 — weekly delivery target (PDH/PDL or PWH/PWL)
- Runner (20%): Let run to the maximum draw-on-liquidity target (IPDA level)
Runner Management
- Move stop to breakeven immediately after Target 1 is hit
- Trail the runner stop behind each successive FVG or OB that gets respected
- Never let a runner turn into a full loss — breakeven is the minimum protection
- Let the runner go to the weekly or IPDA target without interference
Daily Loss / Drawdown Limits
- Set a max daily loss before the session — typically 2–3% of account
- If max daily loss is hit: stop trading immediately, no exceptions
- Set a weekly drawdown cap — typically 5–6%
- After two consecutive losing days: reduce position size by 50% until confidence returns
- Never average into losing positions
Wyckoff Integration
How ICT Incorporates Wyckoff Logic
ACCUMULATION SCHEMATIC
- PS (Preliminary Support): First attempt to hold price — creates the initial low
- SC (Selling Climax): Panic selling exhaustion — ICT calls this the liquidity sweep / SSL raid
- AR (Automatic Rally): First impulse up — ICT's displacement / ChoCH
- ST (Secondary Test): Return to the SC low — ICT's OB/FVG retracement (the OTE entry)
- Spring: Final sweep below the ST low before markup — ICT's Turtle Soup / final SSL raid
- Markup: The bullish expansion — ICT's distribution to BSL target
DISTRIBUTION SCHEMATIC
- PSY (Preliminary Supply): First resistance — creates the initial high
- BC (Buying Climax): Euphoric buying exhaustion — ICT's BSL sweep / liquidity raid above highs
- AR (Automatic Reaction): First impulse down — ICT's displacement / bearish ChoCH
- ST (Secondary Test): Return to BC high — ICT's bearish OB/FVG retracement (OTE entry)
- UTAD (Upthrust After Distribution): Final sweep above ST — ICT's Turtle Soup / final BSL raid
- Markdown: Bearish expansion — ICT's distribution to SSL target
ICT's Market Maker Models (Buy/Sell) are essentially Wyckoff Accumulation/Distribution Schematics described through the lens of institutional algorithmic delivery. The Spring = SSL Sweep. The UTAD = BSL Sweep. The Markup/Markdown = the AMD Distribution phase.
Correlated Markets & Index Relationships
Using Correlation for Confluence
| Market A | Market B | Relationship | Use |
|---|---|---|---|
| ES (S&P 500) | NQ (Nasdaq 100) | Correlated | SMT divergence for reversals |
| ES | YM (Dow Jones) | Correlated | Triple index confirmation |
| EUR/USD | GBP/USD | Correlated | Forex SMT divergence |
| DXY (Dollar) | EUR/USD | Inverse | Dollar strength = EUR weakness |
| Gold (XAU) | DXY | Inverse | Dollar down = Gold up |
| Crude Oil | CAD/JPY | Correlated | Oil proxy in forex |
How to Use Correlation
- Confirmation: If ES and NQ BOTH make new highs → the move is likely genuine and continuation is probable
- SMT Signal: ES makes a new high but NQ fails to confirm → bearish SMT divergence → expect a reversal
- DXY as bias filter: If DXY is in a premium zone and showing bearish structure → EUR/USD likely bullish → align your forex trades accordingly
- Triple confluence: ES, NQ, and YM all at the same PD array simultaneously → highest probability entry zone
Trade Journal — The ICT Method
What to Record on Every Trade
BEFORE THE TRADE
- Date, time, instrument, session (London / NY AM / NY PM)
- Weekly profile selected and HTF bias (bullish/bearish)
- Draw on liquidity target identified (BSL/SSL level)
- Kill zone active (yes/no)
- Liquidity swept (yes/no — which level)
- ChoCH confirmed (yes/no — timeframe)
- PD Array used for entry (OB / FVG / Breaker / OTE)
- Entry price, stop price, target price, planned R:R
- Screenshot of the setup at entry
AFTER THE TRADE
- Result: Win / Loss / Breakeven
- Actual R:R achieved
- Was the setup valid? (regardless of outcome)
- Did you follow the plan? (yes/no)
- What would you do differently?
- Screenshot of the closed trade with annotations
- Emotional state during the trade (calm / anxious / revenge-trading?)
- Weekly review: patterns in losses — time of day, session, setup type
ICT's rule: a losing trade that followed the plan perfectly is a good trade. A winning trade that deviated from the plan is a dangerous trade. Journal both equally.
FRACTAL APPLICATION — THE SAME SETUP ON EVERY TIMEFRAME
Sweep → ChoCH → FVG: Monthly to 1-Minute
Every ICT concept is fractal — the exact same Sweep → ChoCH → FVG sequence plays out on every timeframe. The only difference is the size of the move and the time to target. Mastering it on one timeframe means you understand it on all of them.
| Timeframe | The Sweep | The ChoCH | Entry (FVG) | Target | Hold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monthly | Sweeps PMH/PML or 60D high/low | Monthly candle closes opposite | Weekly OB / FVG | 60-day target | Weeks–months |
| Weekly | Monday sweeps PWH or PWL | Tuesday 1H ChoCH fires | 1H OB / FVG from ChoCH | Weekly high or low | 2–4 days |
| Daily | London sweeps Asia range H/L | 5M/15M ChoCH after London wick | 5M FVG from displacement | PDH or PDL | Hours |
| 1H/15M | Kill zone sweeps prior session H/L | 5M ChoCH | 1M–5M FVG | Session high/low | 30–90 min |
| 5M/1M | ICT Macro sweeps micro H/L | 1M ChoCH | 1M FVG (Unicorn if inside OB) | Local liquidity | 5–20 min |
When a 5M sweep + ChoCH aligns with a 1H OB, which aligns with a daily FVG, which aligns with a bullish weekly profile — that multi-timeframe convergence is the Unicorn setup. The fractal confirms itself.
📊 Chart Walkthrough
// How to read a chart — ICT method, step by step
"You don't need a hundred setups. You need one setup, on one pair, in one kill zone, done correctly a hundred times. That's mastery."
— ICT
THE ICT PRE-TRADE FRAMEWORK — 7 STEPS
Apply these in order, top-down, before touching the entry timeframe. If any step gives you a "no" — the trade doesn't exist yet.
STEP 1 — MONTHLY / WEEKLY (5 min)
HTF Bias & Draw on Liquidity
Open the Monthly chart. Is price above or below the 50% range of the last 3–4 months? Above = bearish bias (in premium). Below = bullish bias (in discount).
BULLISH READ
Price below 50% of monthly range → bias is long. Mark the nearest 20/40/60-day low as the draw target above.
BEARISH READ
Price above 50% of monthly range → bias is short. Mark the nearest 20/40/60-day high as the draw target below.
Mark PDH, PDL, PWH, PWL, PMH, PML as horizontal lines. These are your liquidity pools — price will sweep one of them before reversing.
STEP 2 — DAILY (5 min)
Weekly Profile Selection
Switch to the Daily chart. Identify where we are in the weekly delivery cycle.
MON
Did Monday sweep PWL (bull) or PWH (bear)? If yes → manipulation confirmed → weekly direction is clear.
TUE
Most likely delivery day for the weekly high or low. If Monday swept → Tuesday London or NY AM is your primary entry window.
WED+
Continuation or delayed delivery. Select from the 8 weekly profiles to determine expected daily behavior.
STEP 3 — 4H / 1H (5 min)
Structure & PD Array Identification
Drop to the 4H then 1H. Confirm market structure and identify the premium/discount arrays price will use to deliver.
- Is price making HH/HL (bullish structure) or LH/LL (bearish)?
- Mark the most recent BOS — that's your directional confirmation
- Identify the OBs and FVGs left by the last impulsive move
- Is price in premium (above 50%) or discount (below 50%) of the 1H range?
- The highest-ranked unfilled PD array in the right zone = your target entry area
STEP 4 — WAIT FOR KILL ZONE
Time — The Filter That Removes 80% of Bad Trades
Close the charts. Do not watch the screen. Set alerts for the kill zone open. Return when the window opens.
London
2:00–5:00 AM EST
Manipulation phase. Watch for Asia range sweep.
NY AM ⭐
8:30–11:00 AM EST
Primary delivery. Highest probability window.
If you're not in a kill zone — you are not trading. You are watching. There is nothing to do until the window opens.
STEP 5 — 15M / 5M (KILL ZONE OPEN)
The Setup: Sweep + ChoCH
Now watch actively. You are looking for the 2-part trigger that confirms the trade direction.
PART 1 — THE SWEEP
Price aggressively moves into resting liquidity (BSL or SSL). A wick beyond the prior swing high/low. This is the Judas Swing — the manipulation candle filling institutional orders.
PART 2 — THE ChoCH
After the sweep, price reverses and breaks the last opposing swing on the 5M or 15M. This is the Change of Character — institutional direction confirmed. A FVG forms in this displacement candle.
No sweep = no setup. No ChoCH = no entry. Both must occur within the kill zone. This alone eliminates 90% of bad entries.
STEP 6 — 1M / 5M (ENTRY)
The Entry: FVG / OB at CE
After ChoCH fires, price will retrace into the FVG or OB created by the displacement candle. This is your entry zone.
1
Mark the FVG from the ChoCH displacement candle (the gap between C1 wick and C3 wick).
2
Mark the CE (50% midpoint of the FVG). This is your ideal entry price.
3
Wait for price to retrace INTO the FVG. Enter limit order at CE or wait for a 1M ChoCH from inside the FVG.
4
Stop: Beyond the swept liquidity level (the original sweep wick low/high). Target: The opposing liquidity pool identified in Step 1.
STEP 7 — TRADE MANAGEMENT
After Entry — Three Rules
RULE 1 — BREAKEVEN
Once price reaches 1:1 R:R, move stop to breakeven. You now have a free trade. Never give back more than 1R once you're ahead.
RULE 2 — NO RE-ENTRY
If stopped out during the kill zone — no re-entry in the same window. The setup has invalidated. Wait for the next kill zone.
RULE 3 — JOURNAL IT
Win or loss — screenshot before and after. Journal the trade with entry reason, what confirmed, what failed. This is where real edge is built.
COMPLETE SEQUENCE — QUICK REFERENCE
Monthly/Weekly
HTF Bias → Daily
Weekly Profile → 4H/1H
Structure + PDA → Wait for
Kill Zone → 15M/5M
Sweep + ChoCH → 1M/5M
FVG Entry at CE → Manage &
Journal
HTF Bias → Daily
Weekly Profile → 4H/1H
Structure + PDA → Wait for
Kill Zone → 15M/5M
Sweep + ChoCH → 1M/5M
FVG Entry at CE → Manage &
Journal
SEE ALSO →
Weekly Profiles
// The 8 recurring delivery models — use Sunday night to select
"Monday's job is to lie. Tuesday's job is to tell the truth. If you understand that one concept, you will stop getting chopped up every Monday for the rest of your trading career."
— ICT
Weekly Profile Decision Tree (Sunday night): 1. Identify HTF bias (bullish/bearish). 2. Mark HTF discount or premium array. 3. Did Monday sweep the relevant liquidity side? YES → expect Tuesday to deliver the weekly high/low. NO → expect Wednesday. 4. No weekly H/L by Wed → Thursday reversal risk. 5. No weekly H/L by Thu → Friday Seek & Destroy (stand aside).
▲ BULLISH PROFILES
1. Classic Tuesday Low
High Probability
Monday manipulates lower to sweep sell-side liquidity. Tuesday delivers the actual weekly low during London or NY AM. Wed–Fri expand higher.
| Day | Action |
|---|---|
| Mon | Fake move lower — sweeps prior-week low. Retail sells. |
| Tue | WEEKLY LOW PRINTS — London or NY AM. ChoCh fires. Entry zone. |
| Wed | Expansion higher begins. Longs from Tuesday running. |
| Thu | Retracement into FVG/OB from Tuesday leg. 2nd entry. |
| Fri | Close near weekly high. Profit-taking. No new longs. |
Entry: Tuesday London/NY AM — ChoCh above London wick + FVG fill. Stop: below weekly low. Target: weekly premium / prior-week high.
2. Wednesday Low — Bullish
Moderate
Monday and Tuesday both fail to reach the HTF discount array. Weekly low is delayed to Wednesday London or NY AM. Thursday and Friday deliver the expansion — compressed but sharp.
When Mon & Tue fail to expand toward discount, pressure builds into Wednesday. Expect a compressed but sharp 2-day bullish run.
3. Thursday Reversal — Bullish
Moderate
Price drifts lower Mon–Wed into a significant HTF PDA. Thursday London sweeps the low and produces a sharp ChoCh. Friday confirms and extends. Tell: tight Mon–Wed range drifting into PDA.
Do NOT short the drift. Wait for the Thursday sweep + ChoCh.
4. Friday Bullish Reversal — Seek & Destroy
Low
Market hunts both sides Mon–Thu, then delivers a sharp bullish reversal on Friday. Often triggered by high-impact news (NFP, CPI).
⚠ Destroys traders positioned correctly all week then stopped by Friday's sweep. Default: stand aside Thursday/Friday when no weekly H/L has formed.
▼ BEARISH PROFILES
5. Classic Tuesday High
High Probability
Mirror of the Classic Tuesday Low. Monday fakes higher to sweep buy-side liquidity. Tuesday delivers the actual weekly high in London or NY AM. Wed–Fri distribute lower.
| Day | Action |
|---|---|
| Mon | Fake move higher — sweeps prior-week high. Retail buys. |
| Tue | WEEKLY HIGH PRINTS — London or NY AM. Bearish ChoCh fires. |
| Wed | Distribution lower begins. Shorts from Tuesday running. |
| Thu | Retracement into bearish FVG/OB. Second short entry. |
| Fri | Close near weekly low. Institutions book profits. |
Entry: Tuesday London/NY AM — bearish ChoCh below London wick + FVG fill. Stop: above weekly high. Target: weekly discount / prior-week low.
6. Wednesday High — Bearish
Moderate
Monday and Tuesday both fail to reach the HTF premium array. Weekly high delayed to Wednesday. Thursday and Friday are sharp distribution days. Often coincides with mid-week news events.
7. Thursday Reversal — Bearish
Moderate
Slow drift higher into premium Mon–Wed. Retail builds long bias. Thursday London sweeps into HTF premium and reverses aggressively. Friday closes near the weekly low.
8. Friday Bearish Reversal — Seek & Destroy
Low
Market chops all week, both sides hunted, then collapses on Friday. Only trade with exceptional confluence or avoid entirely.
⚠ Same caution as the bullish version. Default action: avoid.
Quick Reference
All 8 Weekly Profiles at a Glance
| Profile | Bias | Probability | Summary |
|---|---|---|---|
| Classic Tue Low | Bullish | High | Mon manipulation down → Tue weekly low in London/NY AM |
| Classic Tue High | Bearish | High | Mon manipulation up → Tue weekly high in London/NY AM |
| Wed Low | Bullish | Moderate | Mon–Tue fail to hit discount → Wed delivers the low |
| Wed High | Bearish | Moderate | Mon–Tue fail to hit premium → Wed delivers the high |
| Thu Reversal — Bull | Bullish | Moderate | Mon–Wed drift lower into HTF PDA → Thu sharp ChoCh up |
| Thu Reversal — Bear | Bearish | Moderate | Mon–Wed drift higher into HTF PDA → Thu sharp ChoCh down |
| Fri Bullish Reversal | Bullish | Low | All-week chop → Fri sweep + rally. News-driven. Avoid. |
| Seek & Destroy — Bear | Bearish | Low | All-week chop → Fri sweep + collapse. News-driven. Avoid. |
SEE ALSO →
Daily Profiles
// 6 intraday delivery models — match to weekly profile bias
"London opens to manipulate. New York opens to deliver. When you see London doing something that doesn't make sense — it's because New York hasn't told you the punchline yet."
— ICT
Key principle: Match the daily profile to the weekly profile bias to filter entries. When they conflict — stand aside. The mismatch check is one of the sharpest pre-trade filters available.
Profile 1 — Classic Bull Day
High
Occurs on trend days, Mon–Wed in a bullish week.
| Session | Behavior |
|---|---|
| Asia | Tight range — accumulation. No directional expansion. |
| London KZ | Sweeps Asia LOW (manipulation wick). Retail sells. |
| NY AM KZ | Reverses the London sweep. True bullish delivery begins. |
| NY Lunch | Shallow pullback or flat. Trend respected, longs hold. |
| NY PM KZ | Continuation or slight consolidation near daily high. |
Entry model: London ChoCh above the Asia low sweep → NY AM entry into the FVG left by the reversal candle. Target: prior-day high / weekly premium.
Profile 2 — Classic Bear Day
High
Occurs on trend days, Mon–Wed in a bearish week.
| Session | Behavior |
|---|---|
| Asia | Tight range near highs. Buy-side liquidity building above. |
| London KZ | Sweeps Asia HIGH (manipulation wick). Retail buys. |
| NY AM KZ | Reverses the London sweep. Aggressive sell-off begins. |
| NY Lunch | No meaningful bounce — sellers fully in control. |
| NY PM KZ | Continuation lower. Closes near daily low. |
Entry model: London ChoCh below the Asia high sweep → NY AM entry into the bearish FVG. Target: prior-day low / weekly discount.
Profile 3 — Bullish Reversal Day
Moderate
Occurs after a multi-day sell-off reaching HTF discount, or on the weekly low delivery day.
| Session | Behavior |
|---|---|
| Asia | Opens lower. Looks bearish. Sell-side liquidity in range. |
| London KZ | Continues lower — makes new low below Asia. Retail shorts pile in. |
| NY AM KZ | REVERSAL — sweep complete, sharp ChoCh above London open. |
| NY Lunch | Price holds above reversal candle. Longs running. |
| NY PM KZ | Continues higher or consolidates. Closes well off lows. |
Key tell: London makes a new low BELOW Asia low, then NY AM closes back above the London open. Daily candle = hammer or bullish engulf on HTF. The lower London goes, the more powerful the reversal.
Profile 4 — Bearish Reversal Day
Moderate
Occurs after a multi-day rally reaching HTF premium, or on the weekly high delivery day.
| Session | Behavior |
|---|---|
| Asia | Opens at highs. Looks bullish. Buy-side liquidity building above. |
| London KZ | Extends higher — makes new high above Asia. Retail longs pile in. |
| NY AM KZ | REVERSAL — sweep complete, bearish ChoCh on 9:30–10:00 AM candle. |
| NY Lunch | Price holds below reversal candle. Shorts running. |
| NY PM KZ | Continues lower. Closes near the daily low. |
Key tell: London makes a new high ABOVE Asia high, then NY AM closes back below the London open. Daily candle = shooting star or bearish engulf on HTF.
Profile 5 — Double Distribution Day
Moderate
Occurs on Wednesdays, pre-news days, midweek rebalancing sessions.
| Session | Behavior |
|---|---|
| Asia | Ranging — sets up the first liquidity pool. |
| London KZ | First distribution leg — delivers to a partial target. Looks like the daily move. |
| NY AM KZ | Retraces — looks like a reversal. This is the 2nd setup forming. |
| NY Lunch | Consolidates at midpoint. Two separate price ranges now visible. |
| NY PM KZ | Second distribution leg. Experienced traders catch both moves. |
Common mistake: traders take the London leg correctly, get stopped on NY AM retracement, then miss the 2nd leg. Tell: NY AM does NOT produce a clean ChoCh in the opposite direction — it just consolidates and resumes.
Profile 6 — Range / Consolidation Day
Stand Aside
Occurs pre-news, FOMC waiting, mid-week chop, Friday afternoons.
| Session | Behavior |
|---|---|
| Asia | Tight range — no meaningful setup. |
| London KZ | Small spike that looks like a setup. Reverses. Retail gets stopped. |
| NY AM KZ | Another small spike. Another stop-out. No follow-through. |
| NY Lunch | Chop continues. Both sides of the range swept repeatedly. |
| NY PM KZ | No directional delivery. Closes near the open. |
The correct action: if London AND NY AM both fail to produce meaningful expansion — stop trading. Every kill zone will produce a small wick that looks like a setup. They are all traps. Sitting out a range day is a winning trade.
Quick Reference
All 6 Daily Profiles at a Glance
| Profile | Bias | Probability | Summary |
|---|---|---|---|
| Classic Bull | Bullish | High | London sweeps Asia low → NY AM rips higher all day |
| Classic Bear | Bearish | High | London sweeps Asia high → NY AM distributes lower all day |
| Bullish Reversal | Bullish | Moderate | London fakes lower → NY AM sharp reversal candle |
| Bearish Reversal | Bearish | Moderate | London fakes higher → NY AM sharp reversal candle |
| Double Distribution | Both | Moderate | London leg 1 → NY retraces → NY PM leg 2 |
| Range / Chop Day | None | Stand Aside | No KZ follow-through. Both sides swept. Zero trades. |
SEE ALSO →
Alignment Matrix
// Weekly profile × Daily profile — the cross-timeframe edge
"When the weekly bias, the daily profile, and the intraday structure all say the same thing at the same kill zone — that is your highest probability trade. Everything aligned. That's the Unicorn."
— ICT
The mismatch check — before every trade: 1. What is my weekly profile and what direction does it point? 2. What is today's expected daily profile given where we are in the week? 3. Is the current intraday price action consistent with that expected daily profile? If weekly says bullish but daily is delivering a Classic Bear pattern — either your weekly read is wrong, or this is Monday's manipulation. Do not force the trade.
Cross-Timeframe Alignment Table
Weekly Profile × Day × Expected Daily Delivery
| Weekly Profile | Day | Expected Daily Delivery | Action |
|---|---|---|---|
| Classic Tue Low (Bull) | Monday | Range day or Bearish Reversal — the Monday fake lower IS the manipulation. Do not short. | Observe |
| Classic Tue Low (Bull) | Tuesday | Bullish Reversal day — London continues down, NY AM ChoCh fires. This is the entry. | Enter Long |
| Classic Tue Low (Bull) | Wed+ | Classic Bull day — London holds higher, NY AM continues the expansion. | Hold / Add |
| Classic Tue High (Bear) | Monday | Range day or Bullish Reversal — Monday fake higher is the trap. Do not buy. | Observe |
| Classic Tue High (Bear) | Tuesday | Bearish Reversal day — London fakes higher, NY AM ChoCh fires short. Entry. | Enter Short |
| Classic Tue High (Bear) | Wed+ | Classic Bear day — London holds lower, NY AM continues lower. | Hold / Add |
| Thu Reversal (Bull) | Mon–Wed | Range or drift-bear days — do NOT short. This is accumulation into an HTF PDA. | Stand Aside |
| Thu Reversal (Bull) | Thursday | Bullish Reversal day — the sweep and ChoCh that all week was building toward. | Enter Long |
| Seek & Destroy | Any day | Range days all week. Do not trade. Friday may produce a sharp reversal — avoid. | No Trade |
The Core Rule
Triple Alignment Required
Kill Zone active
+ Sweep + ChoCh
+ Weekly profile bias
= Valid trade
+ Sweep + ChoCh
+ Weekly profile bias
= Valid trade
If all three conditions are NOT met simultaneously — there is no trade.
Bullish Alignment Signal
All Green Lights
- Monthly/Weekly bias: bullish (below 50% of range)
- Weekly profile: Classic Tue Low or similar
- Daily profile: Bullish Reversal or Classic Bull
- Kill zone: London or NY AM active
- London swept Asia LOW and closed back inside
- ChoCh confirmed on 5M or 15M
Bearish Alignment Signal
All Red Lights
- Monthly/Weekly bias: bearish (above 50% of range)
- Weekly profile: Classic Tue High or similar
- Daily profile: Bearish Reversal or Classic Bear
- Kill zone: London or NY AM active
- London swept Asia HIGH and closed back inside
- Bearish ChoCh confirmed on 5M or 15M
SEE ALSO →
Trade Planning Checklist
// Run in order before every trade. Fail any step = no trade.
"If you cannot define your edge before you enter the trade, you do not have an edge. You have a hope. And hope is not a trading strategy."
— ICT
The one rule that eliminates most losses: Only enter during a kill zone. Only enter after a sweep + ChoCh. Only trade in the direction of the weekly profile bias. If all three conditions are not met simultaneously — there is no trade.
✅ VALID SETUP — All must be true
- Kill zone active (London / NY AM / NY PM)
- Liquidity sweep confirmed (BSL or SSL raided)
- ChoCH on 5M or 15M after the sweep
- FVG or OB present in the displacement move
- Direction aligns with weekly profile bias
- At least 3:1 R:R with defined stop placement
❌ INVALID — Any one disqualifies the trade
- Outside all kill zones (lunch, after 4 PM, overnight)
- No sweep — entering on anticipation only
- No ChoCH — just a reaction candle, no structural shift
- Counter-trend to weekly profile (fade the bias)
- Monday entry before manipulation is confirmed
- Stop requires more than 2% account risk
Phase 1 — Sunday Night (15 min)
Weekly Setup
Phase 2 — Monday Morning (Before London)
Weekly Range Read
Phase 3 — London Kill Zone (2:00–5:00 AM EST)
Observation Phase
Phase 4 — NY AM Kill Zone (8:30–11:00 AM EST)
Execution Phase
Phase 5 — Intraday Management Rules
Once In a Trade
SEE ALSO →
Common Mistakes & Fixes
// The most expensive errors retail traders make — and the ICT correction
"The most expensive education in trading is the one you pay for with your account. Study the chart after every mistake — not to punish yourself, but to learn the algorithm."
— ICT
Mistake #1
Entering Outside a Kill Zone
No matter how good the setup looks — if it's 7:00 PM or 11:30 AM, it is not a valid entry.
The fix: Kill zone filtering is non-negotiable. If the setup forms outside a kill zone, mark it as a reference — don't trade it. Wait for the next kill zone to produce the same setup.
Mistake #2
Shorting the Monday Manipulation Lower
In a bullish week, Monday's move down IS the manipulation. It is the setup for Tuesday's low — shorting it is exactly what institutions want retail to do.
The fix: Identify the weekly profile Sunday night. If the bias is bullish, Monday's sell-off is accumulation fuel — not a short signal.
Mistake #3
Chasing After London Expansion
If London has already moved 40+ pips before NY opens, the move has already been delivered. Chasing puts you at the worst possible entry.
The fix: Wait for the NY AM retracement into the FVG/OB left by the London displacement. If price has gone too far, wait for the next kill zone.
Mistake #4
Trading Range Days
If two consecutive kill zones fail to expand, every subsequent wick looks like a setup. They are all traps on a range day.
The fix: Switch to Range Day protocol after two KZ failures. Zero new entries. Sitting out is a winning trade.
Mistake #5
Widening Stops After Entry
Moving a stop wider after entry is an emotional reaction that converts a bad trade into a catastrophic one. Stop placement is decided before entry — full stop.
The fix: Define stop placement as part of the pre-trade checklist before entering. Once in the trade, the stop is immovable — except to move to breakeven when Target 1 is hit.
Mistake #6
Ignoring the Weekly Profile
A bullish daily setup inside a bearish weekly profile is a counter-trend trap. Always align both timeframes before entering.
The fix: Run the mismatch check before every entry. If the weekly and daily profiles conflict — there is no trade. The higher timeframe wins every time.
Quick Reference — Mistakes vs Fixes
Full Summary Table
| Mistake | The Fix |
|---|---|
| Entering outside a kill zone | No valid entry signal exists outside a kill zone. Mark the setup, wait for the next KZ. |
| Shorting the Monday manipulation lower (bull week) | Monday's move down IS the setup for Tuesday's weekly low. Identify weekly profile first. |
| Chasing after London expansion | If London has moved 40+ pips before NY opens — wait for the retracement or the next KZ. |
| Trading range days | Two consecutive KZ failures = Range Day protocol. Zero trades for the rest of the session. |
| Widening stops after entry | Stop is defined before entry and is immovable wider. Only move to breakeven at Target 1. |
| Ignoring the weekly profile | Run the mismatch check. If weekly and daily conflict — stand aside. HTF always wins. |
| Entering a valid structural setup outside a kill zone | The manipulation move you'd need to confirm the trade happens INSIDE the kill zone — wait for it. |
AMD Real-Time Execution — Step by Step
How to Use the Power of 3 in a Live Session
STEP 1 — ASIA CLOSES
Note the Asia range high and low. These are the liquidity levels London will target.
STEP 2 — LONDON OPENS
Watch for a sweep of the Asia range — above or below. This is the manipulation move.
STEP 3 — CONFIRM THE FAKE
London swept the low and closed back inside the Asia range? → look for longs. Swept high and closed inside? → look for shorts.
STEP 4 — NY AM ENTRY
Enter on the ChoCh + FVG confirmation in the NY AM kill zone only. No ChoCh = no entry.
⏱ Live Kill Zone Timer
// Real-time session tracker — all times in EST (New York)
"Outside a kill zone, you are not trading the market. You are gambling with the market. The difference is everything."
— ICT
CURRENT TIME (EST / NEW YORK)
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NEXT KILL ZONE
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Session Timeline — 24 Hour View
12AM2AM4AM6AM8AM10AM12PM2PM4PM6PM8PM10PM12AM
Asian Session
8PM–12AM
8:00 PM – 12:00 AM EST
Accumulation phase. Mark the range high and low — London will sweep one side.
London Kill Zone
2AM–5AM
2:00 AM – 5:00 AM EST
Manipulation phase. Watch for Asia range sweep + ChoCH confirmation.
NY AM Kill Zone ⭐
8:30AM–11AM
8:30 AM – 11:00 AM EST
Primary execution window. Highest probability. Enter on FVG/OB after London ChoCH.
NY Lunch ⚠️
12PM–1:30PM
12:00 PM – 1:30 PM EST
DEAD ZONE. Avoid all entries. Thin liquidity, choppy price action.
NY PM Kill Zone
1:30PM–4PM
1:30 PM – 4:00 PM EST
Secondary window. Silver Bullet 2–3 PM. Continuation or partial reversal of AM session.
Today's ICT Macros
| Macro | Window | Status |
|---|---|---|
| London Open | 2:33–3:00 AM | — |
| NY AM #1 | 8:50–9:10 AM | — |
| NY AM #2 | 9:50–10:10 AM | — |
| NY Lunch | 11:50AM–12:10PM | — |
| NY PM #1 | 1:10–1:30 PM | — |
| NY PM #2 | 3:15–3:45 PM | — |
Economic News Calendar
High Impact Events — Mapped to Kill Zones
📁 High
📁 Med
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Data: ForexFactory · All times EST · —
⚡ Pre-Trade Bias Builder
// Answer 6 questions — get your trade signal
"Before you put on a single trade, you need to know: where is the liquidity, what is the time, and what is the higher timeframe bias. Without all three — sit on your hands."
— ICT
Question 1
What is your HTF bias?
Question 2
Where is the nearest draw on liquidity?
Question 3
Is a Kill Zone currently active?
Question 4
Has a liquidity sweep occurred?
Question 5
Has ChoCH / MSS confirmed?
Question 6
Is price at a valid PD Array?
📐 R:R Calculator
// Risk/Reward · Position Size · Profit & Loss
"Never risk more than you are willing to lose completely. Your stop loss is not a suggestion. It is a contract you make with yourself before you enter."
— ICT
Trade Inputs
Results
DIRECTION
LONG ▲
R:R RATIO
3.0:1
RISK AMOUNT
$100
PROFIT TARGET
$300
POSITION SIZE
50
✅ VALID — Meets 3:1 minimum
RISK EXPOSURE
0%ICT MAX: 2%5%
POSITION SIZING — ICT METHOD
Risk % → Stop Distance → Contracts
ICT never trades a fixed contract count. Position size is derived from your stop loss distance — so risk stays constant regardless of market volatility.
FORMULA
Risk $ = Account × Risk %
Stop $ = Stop pts × Tick value
Contracts = Risk $ ÷ Stop $
ES FUTURES EXAMPLE
Account: $50,000
Risk: 1% = $500
Stop: 10 pts × $50 = $500
→ 1 contract
Risk: 1% = $500
Stop: 10 pts × $50 = $500
→ 1 contract
Size by confluence: Marginal setup (score 8–11) → 0.5× size. Standard (12–15) → 1× size. Strong (16–18) → 1.5×. A+ (19–20) → max size. Let the Confluence Scorer guide your sizing.
📊 Institutional Levels Calculator
// OTE · Premium/Discount · Standard Deviations · Fibonacci
"The OTE is where the algorithm goes to reload. 61.8 to 79 percent. That's where smart money enters after displacement. Learn to draw it correctly and you will never struggle for entries again."
— ICT on OTE Fibonacci
Input Range
Calculated Levels
🌍 Session Overlap Map
// 24-hour live timeline · All sessions · Current position
"The Tokyo session is the setup. The London session is the manipulation. The New York session is the delivery. Three acts. Every single day."
— ICT
Live 24-Hour Session Map (EST)
Sydney
5:00 PM – 2:00 AM EST
Low liquidity. Sets initial range for Asia session.
Tokyo / Asia
8:00 PM – 6:00 AM EST
ICT Kill Zone: 8 PM–12 AM. Accumulation phase. Mark range H/L.
London
3:00 AM – 12:00 PM EST
ICT Kill Zone: 2–5 AM. Manipulation. Judas Swing. Highest EU volume.
New York
8:00 AM – 5:00 PM EST
ICT Kill Zones: 8:30–11 AM + 1:30–4 PM. Distribution. True directional move.
London–NY Overlap ⭐
8:00 AM – 12:00 PM EST
Highest volume window of the day. Most institutional moves originate here.
🃏 ICT Flashcards
// Tap to flip · Know it / Still learning · Track your progress
"You have to know the language before you can read the story. Learn every term, understand every concept — until it becomes reflexive, not analytical."
— ICT
Card 1 of 1 · 0 known
CATEGORY
AMD
TAP TO REVEAL DEFINITION
📓 Trade Journal
// Log trades · Track performance · Export CSV
"If you are not journaling your trades, you are not a trader — you are a gambler with a brokerage account. The journal is where the real learning happens."
— ICT
Equity Curve
Win / Loss Breakdown
New Trade Entry
Performance Summary
TOTAL TRADES
0
WIN RATE
0%
AVG R:R
0:1
TOTAL P&L
$0
Trade Log
No trades logged yet.
Add your first trade →
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📖 ICT Glossary
// Searchable A–Z reference · Every ICT term defined
"The reason most retail traders lose is not that the concepts are hard — it is that they never took the time to truly understand the vocabulary. Words mean specific things in this methodology."
— ICT
📅 Weekly Planner
// Sunday setup · Profile selector · Daily bias tracker
"Every Sunday night, smart traders are already two or three moves ahead. They know the bias, they know the liquidity, they know which profile is most likely. They are not reacting on Monday — they are executing a plan."
— ICT
Weekly Bias Setup
Selected Profile
Day-by-Day Plan
🎯 Confluence Score
// Rate your setup quality — 10 factors · Real-time scoring
"The more confluence you have, the less you have to predict. You are not guessing — you are reading a checklist that the algorithm has already filled out for you."
— ICT
Rate Each Factor (0–2)
Confluence Checklist
CONFLUENCE SCORE
0
/ 20
—
0 — Skip10 — Marginal16 — A+ Trade20
Rating Guide
| Score | Rating | Action |
|---|---|---|
| 0–7 | Poor | Skip — No Trade |
| 8–11 | Marginal | Reduced Size |
| 12–15 | Good | Standard Size |
| 16–18 | Strong | Full Size |
| 19–20 | A+ Setup | Max Size 🔥 |
📈 Weekly Forecast
// IPDA · CPR · Profiles · COT · Pattern Matching — Updated every 4 hours
"Smart money doesn't react on Monday — they execute a plan built on Sunday. The bias, the liquidity, the profile — it's all predetermined before the opening bell."
— ICT
? HOW TO READ THIS FORECAST click to expand
THE BIG PICTURE
This page builds a weekly directional bias by layering multiple independent signals. No single card is a trade signal — the conviction comes from alignment across cards. Use it Sunday night or pre-market Monday to frame your weekly plan.
OVERALL BIAS (top banner)
The headline verdict. Aggregates the 3 voting signals below into BULLISH / BEARISH / NEUTRAL with a conviction level (HIGH / LEAN / MIXED). HIGH = 3/3 aligned. LEAN = 2/3. MIXED = conflicting.
TIER 1 — STRUCTURAL
IPDA Positioning — Where is price within the 20/40/60-day dealing range? DISCOUNT (<30%) = bullish, PREMIUM (>70%) = bearish, EQUILIBRIUM = neutral. The 3 timeframes are weighted 50/30/20% into one composite vote.
Weekly CPR — Central Pivot Range calculated from last week's high/low/close. Key levels: Pivot is the magnet, R1/R2 are resistance, S1/S2 are support. Narrow CPR = trending week likely. Price above pivot = bullish vote; below = bearish vote.
Key Levels — Sorted price ladder combining prior day/week/month highs and lows with CPR pivots. These are your draw-on-liquidity targets. Look for price to sweep one level and reverse toward the opposite.
Volatility Regime — VIX level + ATR expansion/contraction. HIGH VIX (>25) = wide ranges, aggressive stops needed. LOW VIX (<15) = tighter ranges, smaller targets. ATR ratio >1.0x = expanding volatility (directional move likely).
TIER 2 — WEEKLY PROFILES
Most Likely Profile — The top prediction for this week's pattern. ICT defines weekly profiles by which day prints the high/low. Example: "Tuesday Low of Week" = Tuesday makes the low, then price rallies into Friday. The prediction uses Bayesian transition (if data exists) or frequency distribution as fallback.
Last Week — How last week actually played out. Compare to last week's prediction to calibrate accuracy.
Profile Distribution — How often each profile occurred over 52 weeks. Shows if the market is biased toward certain patterns.
Day-of-Week Tendencies — Average return and win rate by day. Helps identify which days tend to be bullish/bearish for this instrument.
12-Week History — Visual heatmap of recent profiles. Green = bullish weeks, red = bearish. Look for streaks and regime changes.
TIER 2 — INSTITUTIONAL
COT Positioning — CFTC Commitment of Traders data (updated weekly, Fridays). Shows where Asset Managers (trend followers) and Leveraged Funds (hedge funds) are positioned. 52-week percentile tells you if positioning is extreme. Note: COT is a slow, confirming signal — not a timing tool.
Quarterly AMD Phase — ICT's Accumulation-Manipulation-Distribution cycle by quarter month. M1 = Accumulation (range), M2 = Manipulation (false move), M3 = Distribution (real move). Tells you where you are in the quarterly cycle.
Monday Manipulation — What % of Mondays faked one direction then reversed by week's end. High % means Monday's move is often a trap — don't chase the Monday open.
TIER 3 — STATISTICAL
Bayesian Prediction — Given last week's profile, what usually follows? Uses a transition matrix (profile A was followed by profile B how many times). More data = more reliable. Shows "frequency fallback" if the prior profile is too rare for transition data.
k-NN Pattern Match — Finds the 5 most similar historical weeks (by range, return, high/low day) and shows what happened the following week. Consensus = majority direction of the 5 matches. Think of it as "weeks that looked like this one tended to be followed by..."
HOW TO USE: Start at the top (Overall Bias). If HIGH conviction, you have a strong directional lean. Then check Key Levels for targets, Weekly Profile for which day to expect the high/low, and Monday Manipulation to decide whether to trade or fade Monday's move. Tier 3 (Bayesian + k-NN) adds statistical confirmation but shouldn't override Tier 1 signals.
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⚠ HIGH-IMPACT EVENTS AHEAD
Volatility expected — size positions accordingly. Conviction does not account for event direction.
OVERALL BIAS
IPDA POSITIONING
WEEKLY CPR + PIVOTS
KEY LEVELS — DRAW ON LIQUIDITY
VOLATILITY REGIME
MOST LIKELY WEEKLY PROFILE
LAST WEEK CLASSIFICATION
PROFILE DISTRIBUTION (52 WEEKS)
DAY-OF-WEEK TENDENCIES
RECENT 12-WEEK PROFILE HISTORY
COT INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONING
QUARTERLY AMD PHASE
MONDAY MANIPULATION PROBABILITY
BAYESIAN PROFILE PREDICTION
SIMILAR WEEK PATTERN MATCH (K-NN)
FORECAST HISTORICAL ACCURACY
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DISCLAIMER: This content is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading futures involves substantial risk of loss. CFTC RULE 4.41 — HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. This tool is not affiliated with or endorsed by ICT/Michael J. Huddleston.
📋 Session Prep
// Gap Analysis · Daily CPR · Key Levels · Volatility · Day Context — Updated every 30 minutes
"Before you trade the day, understand the context the market left you from yesterday."
— ICT
HOW TO USE THIS TAB
Pre-market routine (before 9:30 ET):
1. Check Event Warnings — FOMC/CPI/NFP days require adjusted sizing
2. Review the Session Setup score — HIGH/MODERATE/LOW tells you the quality of today's setup
3. Read Today's Lean — synthesized directional bias from all signals with key levels to watch
4. Check the Gap Analysis — know the gap size, fill probability (empirical), and fill target
5. Expand other cards as needed — EMA Trend, CPR, Volatility, Key Levels, Day Context
Today's Lean synthesizes signals into a directional bias. It is context, not a trade signal — wait for price to confirm direction after open.
1. Check Event Warnings — FOMC/CPI/NFP days require adjusted sizing
2. Review the Session Setup score — HIGH/MODERATE/LOW tells you the quality of today's setup
3. Read Today's Lean — synthesized directional bias from all signals with key levels to watch
4. Check the Gap Analysis — know the gap size, fill probability (empirical), and fill target
5. Expand other cards as needed — EMA Trend, CPR, Volatility, Key Levels, Day Context
Today's Lean synthesizes signals into a directional bias. It is context, not a trade signal — wait for price to confirm direction after open.
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GAP ANALYSIS
DAILY EMA TREND
DAILY CPR + VOLATILITY
DAILY CPR + PIVOTS
VOLATILITY CONTEXT
KEY LEVELS LADDER
DAY CONTEXT
SIGNAL ACCURACY (60-DAY BACKTEST)
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DISCLAIMER: This content is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Gap fill rates are computed from the past year of data when available, with published research averages as fallback. Trading futures involves substantial risk of loss.